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Combining stochastic simulations and inverse modelling for delineation of groundwater well capture zones

机译:结合随机模拟和反演模型描绘地下水井捕获区

摘要

In hydrogeology, protection zones of a spring or a pumping well are often delimited by isochrones that are computed using calibrated groundwater flow and transport models. In heterogeneous formations, all direct and indirect data, respectively called hard and soft data, must be used in an optimal way. Approaches involving in situ pumping and tracer tests, combined with geophysical and/or other geological observations, are developed. In a deterministic framework, the calibrated model is considered as the best representation of the reality at the current investigation stage, but result uncertainty remains unquantified. Using stochastic methods, a range of equally likely isochrones can be produced allowing to quantify the influence of our knowledge of the aquifer parameters on protection zone uncertainty. Furthermore, integration of soft data in a conditioned stochastic generation process, possibly associated with an inverse modeling procedure, can reduce the resulting uncertainty. A stochastic methodology for protection zone delineation integrating hydraulic conductivity measurements (hard data), head observations and electrical resistivity data (soft data) is proposed.
机译:在水文地质学中,弹簧或抽水井的保护区通常由等时线界定,等时线是使用校准的地下水流和运输模型计算得出的。在异构形式中,必须以最佳方式使用所有直接数据和间接数据(分别称为硬数据和软数据)。开发了涉及原位泵送和示踪剂测试以及地球物理和/或其他地质观测结果的方法。在确定性框架中,在当前调查阶段,校准模型被认为是现实的最佳表示,但结果不确定性仍未量化。使用随机方法,可以产生一系列可能相等的等时线,从而可以量化我们对含水层参数知识的了解对保护区不确定性的影响。此外,将软数据集成到有条件的随机生成过程中(可能与逆建模过程关联)可以减少结果的不确定性。提出了一种将水力传导率测量值(硬数据),水头观测值和电阻率数据(软数据)相结合的保护区划定的随机方法。

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